According to the Ernesto forecast, the hurricane will pass “well south” of Nova Scotia.
HALIFAX – By the time Hurricane Ernesto hits the Atlantic coast on Monday, the Canadian Hurricane Center predicts that it will have moved “well south” of Nova Scotia.
However, the agency noted in its forecast released Thursday afternoon that there would be some rain that day in Nova Scotia and southeast Newfoundland. It also said that there is “a bit higher” possibility of strong winds in Newfoundland and a low probability of winds in Nova Scotia.
The hurricane, which is forecast to impact Bermuda on Saturday as a Category 2 hurricane and cause strong gusts and significant ocean swell, is predicted by the Halifax-based service. That day, the government agency warned, the high seas will start to approach the Atlantic coast and continue to expand throughout the weekend.
Four days remain until the storm enters Canadian waters, according to Chris Fogarty, a meteorologist at the center, who stated in an interview on Thursday that “there is rather large uncertainty still.”
“Heavy waves will undoubtedly be present throughout Nova Scotia’s Atlantic coast, though. He warned beachgoers to be aware of riptides and strong waves. “The beaches will be active with heavy surf,” he said.
The hurricane agency said it expects “the track of Ernesto’s center will be well south of Nova Scotia as it travels northeastward then approaches southeastern Newfoundland later Monday.”
“Nova Scotia and Newfoundland may receive at least some rain because the storm circulation is probably going to be fairly wide with tropical air and downpours spreading well beyond its center.”
According to it, offshore oil facilities need “certainly pay attention to this storm.”
According to Fogarty, at this point, it seems likely that the jet stream will “steer the storm in an offshore direction.”
“The path taken by these storms is determined by the jet stream. It is more likely that the storm would remain offshore rather than approach land.”
Jet streams are “relatively narrow bands of strong wind in the upper levels of the atmosphere, typically occurring around 9,100 meters in elevation,” according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration of the United States. Although the winds inside jet streams flow from west to east, the band frequently moves north and south as it follows the boundaries between hot and cold air.
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